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Scenarios of
e-Government in 2010 and implications for strategy design
Georg Aichholzer
Institute of Technology Assessment, Austrian Academy of Sciences, Vienna,
Austria
aich@oeaw.ac.at
http://www.oeaw.ac.at/ita/welcome.htm |
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ABSTRACT This contribution focuses on
e-Government as a comprehensive change programme and develops alternative
scenarios with a view towards 2010. Empirical evidence of substantial risks
to a successful implementation and operation of e-Government calls for a
forward-looking approach and possible ways of correcting a wide-spread
neglect of long-term innovation risks. The paper explores the scenario
method as an established instrument for improving strategic decisions in a
context of change, uncertainty and complex environments. Its application in
a Europe-wide research project leads to three macro-scenarios with divergent
implications for e-Government prospects. The conclusions suggest particular
requirements for developing more robust e-Government strategies and
encourage a wider use of scenario processes.
Keywords:
e-Government, risk, future, scenario method, strategy, Europe. |
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